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CASP15 performance benchmarking of the state-of-the-art protein structure prediction methods

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The transformative power of transformers in protein structure prediction

by Bernard Moussad, Rahmatullah Roche, Debswapna Bhattacharya

published in PNAS

DOI

This repo contains all PDBs generated and metrics calculated to benchmark the predictive modeling performance of AlphaFold2, RoseTTAFold, ESMFold, and OmegaFold on a set of 69 CASP15 single-chain protein targets with available experimental coordinates.

The predicted structures for each method are in their respective folders. For MSA-based methods, the link to the MSAs are provided.

The metrics used are:

  • Global Distance Test - Total Score (GDT-TS)
  • Global Distance Calculation - Side-chain (GDC-SC)
  • Template Modeling Score (TMscore)
  • Local Distance Difference Test (LDDT)
  • MolProbity score (MolProbity)

GDT-TS and GDC-SC are part of the Local Global Alignment (LGA) tool which can be download here

LDDT is a standalone tool which can be downloaded here

TM-score is also available for download here

MolProbity can be installed locally via the GitHub Repositry here or run via the webserver here

  1. AlphaFold2 Results
  2. RoseTTAFold Results
  3. ESMFold Results
  4. OmegaFold Results

AlphaFold2

MSAs located at AlphaFold2 MSAs

Target GDT-TS GDC-SC TMscore Global LDDT MolProbity
T1104.pdb 94.02 61.32 0.95 0.86 1.07
T1106s1.pdb 72.18 30.15 0.66 0.77 1.91
T1106s2.pdb 92.34 56.21 0.93 0.89 1.12
T1109.pdb 87.67 63.17 0.89 0.88 0.93
T1110.pdb 95.82 74.86 0.97 0.92 0.87
T1112.pdb 76.69 38.67 0.88 0.83 0.84
T1113.pdb 66.47 43.42 0.68 0.83 1.49
T1114s1.pdb 40.15 14.99 0.43 0.83 1.52
T1114s2.pdb 94.10 67.91 0.98 0.87 1.34
T1114s3.pdb 96.54 71.71 0.99 0.90 1.21
T1119.pdb 92.19 52.68 0.85 0.82 1.35
T1120.pdb 50.66 28.87 0.52 0.83 0.72
T1121.pdb 51.03 25.28 0.60 0.80 0.92
T1122.pdb 26.20 7.53 0.37 0.41 2.10
T1123.pdb 74.18 39.35 0.83 0.66 2.15
T1124.pdb 89.88 62.83 0.95 0.87 1.08
T1125.pdb 12.23 4.16 0.26 0.30 1.74
T1127.pdb 88.17 56.47 0.95 0.87 0.97
T1129s2.pdb 63.50 37.24 0.82 0.56 1.59
T1130.pdb 36.01 9.79 0.37 0.45 1.82
T1131.pdb 20.03 5.21 0.23 0.29 2.12
T1132.pdb 97.45 73.39 0.96 0.90 0.71
T1133.pdb 93.95 68.99 0.98 0.90 1.53
T1134s1.pdb 93.12 69.30 0.97 0.91 0.92
T1134s2.pdb 85.02 59.72 0.89 0.84 0.92
T1137s1.pdb 36.67 16.74 0.42 0.80 0.85
T1137s2.pdb 37.90 21.72 0.42 0.85 0.89
T1137s3.pdb 35.22 15.95 0.40 0.83 1.19
T1137s4.pdb 28.00 13.69 0.31 0.81 1.07
T1137s5.pdb 40.01 22.11 0.49 0.83 0.83
T1137s6.pdb 36.15 17.07 0.46 0.83 1.20
T1137s7.pdb 87.67 54.55 0.96 0.85 1.60
T1137s8.pdb 92.43 56.81 0.97 0.86 0.60
T1137s9.pdb 90.09 57.23 0.97 0.88 0.82
T1139.pdb 87.03 56.83 0.96 0.85 1.13
T1145.pdb 69.74 37.20 0.82 0.88 1.12
T1146.pdb 94.44 65.47 0.97 0.86 1.48
T1147.pdb 98.64 71.79 0.98 0.91 1.16
T1150.pdb 94.06 65.15 0.98 0.88 1.17
T1151s2.pdb 91.37 54.41 0.90 0.81 1.34
T1152.pdb 96.19 59.82 0.88 0.83 1.67
T1153.pdb 92.78 72.67 0.95 0.88 1.09
T1154.pdb 24.30 11.24 0.41 0.51 1.49
T1155.pdb 65.63 22.13 0.65 0.58 1.58
T1157s1.pdb 57.54 35.23 0.70 0.67 1.28
T1157s2.pdb 47.31 15.46 0.66 0.78 1.36
T1158.pdb 61.06 30.84 0.90 0.84 1.28
T1159.pdb 97.81 71.34 0.98 0.93 1.01
T1160.pdb 52.59 5.71 0.27 0.62 0.80
T1161.pdb 53.64 21.38 0.45 0.58 0.80
T1162.pdb 94.64 68.64 0.97 0.89 1.19
T1163.pdb 94.43 67.22 0.96 0.90 0.88
T1170.pdb 69.15 39.65 0.81 0.85 0.84
T1173.pdb 44.24 17.70 0.52 0.60 2.03
T1174.pdb 40.98 23.29 0.53 0.74 1.46
T1175.pdb 93.37 60.36 0.97 0.85 1.29
T1176.pdb 73.53 40.98 0.77 0.78 0.63
T1177.pdb 90.13 57.70 0.96 0.89 0.98
T1178.pdb 75.09 41.41 0.85 0.70 1.94
T1179.pdb 78.28 45.68 0.87 0.70 1.71
T1180.pdb 87.14 52.99 0.95 0.88 0.84
T1181.pdb 69.04 41.54 0.82 0.84 1.32
T1182.pdb 89.36 60.65 0.98 0.91 1.27
T1183.pdb 97.05 70.22 0.98 0.91 0.85
T1184.pdb 97.60 72.00 0.98 0.91 1.82
T1186.pdb 99.90 85.18 1.00 0.97 0.67
T1187.pdb 93.44 60.92 0.94 0.87 0.91
T1188.pdb 97.12 72.41 0.99 0.93 1.27
T1194.pdb 98.91 64.15 0.99 0.90 1.20
Mean 73.06 45.48 0.78 0.80 1.23

RoseTTAFold

MSAs located at RoseTTAFold MSAs

Target GDT-TS GDC-SC TMscore Global LDDT MolProbity
T1104.pdb 53.63 13.46 0.59 0.53 1.07
T1106s1.pdb 67.96 26.80 0.63 0.73 1.32
T1106s2.pdb 86.26 42.71 0.89 0.82 1.30
T1109.pdb 82.69 49.43 0.87 0.79 1.51
T1110.pdb 88.24 54.50 0.92 0.81 1.16
T1112.pdb 53.75 18.24 0.73 0.71 1.37
T1113.pdb 30.39 9.88 0.36 0.40 1.91
T1114s1.pdb 23.38 7.59 0.24 0.72 1.52
T1114s2.pdb 77.25 39.23 0.90 0.70 1.44
T1114s3.pdb 86.75 47.85 0.97 0.74 1.47
T1119.pdb 65.10 25.27 0.57 0.68 1.73
T1120.pdb 40.57 16.61 0.49 0.62 1.76
T1121.pdb 37.53 16.21 0.52 0.63 1.37
T1122.pdb 18.04 3.92 0.26 0.34 2.13
T1123.pdb 41.94 11.19 0.57 0.36 1.92
T1124.pdb 53.57 28.10 0.63 0.70 1.35
T1125.pdb 6.33 1.86 0.18 0.24 1.93
T1127.pdb 80.49 38.69 0.88 0.77 1.17
T1129s2.pdb 17.01 6.15 0.34 0.25 1.95
T1130.pdb 23.43 3.13 0.30 0.38 1.74
T1131.pdb 14.91 1.21 0.19 0.26 2.03
T1132.pdb 93.62 52.66 0.94 0.80 1.34
T1133.pdb 75.92 41.51 0.93 0.77 1.48
T1134s1.pdb 76.31 38.33 0.88 0.80 0.69
T1134s2.pdb 75.09 40.91 0.86 0.75 1.46
T1137s1.pdb 29.10 8.42 0.35 0.68 1.32
T1137s2.pdb 30.39 13.58 0.33 0.76 1.02
T1137s3.pdb 33.14 15.02 0.38 0.76 1.39
T1137s4.pdb 24.94 11.72 0.29 0.65 1.46
T1137s5.pdb 31.92 15.84 0.37 0.70 1.35
T1137s6.pdb 27.57 11.22 0.32 0.70 1.27
T1137s7.pdb 76.42 40.56 0.92 0.73 1.52
T1137s8.pdb 82.57 43.53 0.91 0.78 1.22
T1137s9.pdb 76.70 37.92 0.90 0.77 1.07
T1139.pdb 55.25 27.32 0.69 0.64 1.85
T1145.pdb 31.53 12.19 0.48 0.56 1.75
T1146.pdb 82.80 40.80 0.94 0.73 1.65
T1147.pdb 90.22 52.63 0.91 0.78 1.29
T1150.pdb 79.59 41.56 0.94 0.73 1.36
T1151s2.pdb 78.57 32.48 0.78 0.70 1.33
T1152.pdb 97.28 55.27 0.91 0.81 0.50
T1153.pdb 82.03 46.95 0.90 0.74 1.49
T1154.pdb 7.11 2.67 0.16 0.20 2.30
T1155.pdb 60.82 19.41 0.64 0.53 1.70
T1157s1.pdb 45.64 22.24 0.62 0.57 1.29
T1157s2.pdb 40.20 11.83 0.57 0.73 1.12
T1158.pdb 42.66 18.84 0.71 0.74 1.38
T1159.pdb 87.50 51.50 0.94 0.80 1.82
T1160.pdb 53.45 2.25 0.27 0.59 2.05
T1161.pdb 58.33 15.28 0.42 0.57 1.22
T1162.pdb 74.56 34.08 0.85 0.64 1.44
T1163.pdb 76.36 41.62 0.85 0.74 1.47
T1170.pdb 58.57 26.41 0.75 0.78 0.91
T1173.pdb 24.51 9.43 0.27 0.34 1.68
T1174.pdb 13.76 2.72 0.21 0.37 1.78
T1175.pdb 66.19 27.55 0.82 0.64 1.55
T1176.pdb 60.73 20.86 0.68 0.65 1.72
T1177.pdb 64.01 19.40 0.72 0.63 1.26
T1178.pdb 50.09 15.46 0.69 0.47 1.84
T1179.pdb 36.71 13.33 0.51 0.35 2.26
T1180.pdb 56.95 33.89 0.63 0.75 1.16
T1181.pdb 43.83 19.28 0.63 0.56 1.82
T1182.pdb 65.46 26.96 0.89 0.70 1.50
T1183.pdb 76.54 35.69 0.87 0.67 1.52
T1184.pdb 54.60 32.07 0.59 0.51 1.28
T1186.pdb 95.17 61.94 0.98 0.86 1.33
T1187.pdb 71.80 30.60 0.80 0.66 1.56
T1188.pdb 62.78 33.20 0.80 0.68 1.73
T1194.pdb 63.66 22.78 0.76 0.62 1.45
Mean 56.41 26.00 0.65 0.64 1.49

ESMFold

Target GDT-TS GDC-SC TMscore Global LDDT MolProbity
T1104.pdb 82.69 41.80 0.87 0.72 3.07
T1106s1.pdb 49.65 19.03 0.46 0.67 3.59
T1106s2.pdb 94.37 62.11 0.94 0.90 1.72
T1109.pdb 87.56 60.77 0.89 0.88 1.94
T1110.pdb 95.25 69.25 0.97 0.91 1.91
T1112.pdb 66.74 31.58 0.86 0.80 2.23
T1113.pdb 21.56 7.27 0.26 0.36 3.79
T1114s1.pdb 35.15 14.81 0.39 0.82 2.45
T1114s2.pdb 69.18 42.60 0.79 0.68 2.96
T1114s3.pdb 89.23 60.43 0.96 0.80 2.54
T1119.pdb 98.44 58.59 0.94 0.86 1.36
T1120.pdb 52.19 23.17 0.53 0.78 2.16
T1121.pdb 52.53 28.15 0.62 0.80 2.01
T1122.pdb 36.74 16.22 0.45 0.47 3.69
T1123.pdb 20.09 6.88 0.27 0.20 3.99
T1124.pdb 79.90 50.17 0.90 0.81 2.23
T1125.pdb 14.86 6.73 0.29 0.34 3.90
T1127.pdb 88.78 57.48 0.93 0.82 2.45
T1129s2.pdb 6.21 1.60 0.19 0.15 4.23
T1130.pdb 29.24 5.61 0.36 0.40 3.69
T1131.pdb 17.70 4.07 0.22 0.27 3.71
T1132.pdb 94.39 62.02 0.92 0.84 1.96
T1133.pdb 93.03 67.97 0.98 0.89 2.49
T1134s1.pdb 89.63 62.66 0.95 0.86 1.94
T1134s2.pdb 83.49 56.53 0.88 0.83 2.71
T1137s1.pdb 29.74 12.73 0.35 0.69 3.27
T1137s2.pdb 33.89 15.55 0.36 0.80 2.86
T1137s3.pdb 34.83 16.67 0.38 0.82 3.41
T1137s4.pdb 29.77 15.63 0.33 0.65 3.53
T1137s5.pdb 31.36 18.27 0.35 0.72 3.13
T1137s6.pdb 30.58 11.63 0.36 0.71 3.42
T1137s7.pdb 77.00 47.06 0.84 0.74 3.55
T1137s8.pdb 90.44 56.92 0.95 0.85 1.44
T1137s9.pdb 86.70 52.53 0.95 0.84 2.04
T1139.pdb 56.44 34.22 0.62 0.59 2.81
T1145.pdb 29.73 15.10 0.44 0.54 3.40
T1146.pdb 87.45 56.21 0.93 0.81 2.46
T1147.pdb 94.30 59.69 0.94 0.86 2.67
T1150.pdb 92.98 60.67 0.96 0.83 2.21
T1151s2.pdb 86.61 48.49 0.84 0.76 3.25
T1152.pdb 98.37 66.59 0.93 0.89 2.66
T1153.pdb 83.94 59.28 0.90 0.79 2.66
T1154.pdb 7.11 3.62 0.18 0.20 4.40
T1155.pdb 68.75 27.89 0.71 0.61 2.82
T1157s1.pdb 47.92 28.69 0.61 0.56 3.45
T1157s2.pdb 42.78 14.61 0.62 0.78 2.19
T1158.pdb 52.91 24.06 0.80 0.81 2.53
T1159.pdb 74.38 38.45 0.80 0.71 3.04
T1160.pdb 53.45 8.40 0.29 0.62 2.33
T1161.pdb 63.54 35.14 0.57 0.60 2.11
T1162.pdb 77.53 45.92 0.83 0.69 3.39
T1163.pdb 82.61 46.47 0.87 0.79 2.45
T1170.pdb 67.71 39.00 0.80 0.84 1.76
T1173.pdb 32.84 17.26 0.36 0.37 3.47
T1174.pdb 44.30 23.01 0.55 0.72 3.05
T1175.pdb 88.64 52.79 0.93 0.81 2.48
T1176.pdb 72.50 39.57 0.77 0.78 2.53
T1177.pdb 73.54 40.44 0.79 0.79 1.88
T1178.pdb 9.44 1.79 0.18 0.17 3.96
T1179.pdb 10.91 3.51 0.18 0.17 4.01
T1180.pdb 60.50 40.40 0.64 0.82 1.72
T1181.pdb 53.49 30.13 0.68 0.69 3.21
T1182.pdb 72.23 42.88 0.90 0.71 2.86
T1183.pdb 96.03 67.04 0.97 0.89 2.10
T1184.pdb 24.00 3.10 0.27 0.26 3.76
T1186.pdb 100.00 81.04 1.00 0.95 1.54
T1187.pdb 90.24 57.71 0.93 0.86 2.50
T1188.pdb 66.80 47.82 0.73 0.75 3.21
T1194.pdb 94.56 53.08 0.95 0.82 2.37
Mean 61.62 35.92 0.67 0.69 2.79

OmegaFold

Target GDT-TS GDC-SC TMscore Global LDDT MolProbity
T1104.pdb 45.73 11.18 0.46 0.43 3.40
T1106s1.pdb 49.65 16.04 0.47 0.67 3.15
T1106s2.pdb 90.77 56.52 0.91 0.85 1.61
T1109.pdb 87.67 62.10 0.89 0.88 2.04
T1110.pdb 95.36 71.08 0.97 0.91 2.09
T1112.pdb 70.44 35.68 0.89 0.80 2.22
T1113.pdb 22.60 4.99 0.29 0.40 3.72
T1114s1.pdb 47.20 19.05 0.49 0.83 2.38
T1114s2.pdb 55.59 34.12 0.65 0.58 3.40
T1114s3.pdb 73.29 42.49 0.89 0.67 2.78
T1119.pdb 99.48 62.73 0.95 0.88 1.42
T1120.pdb 45.62 24.48 0.50 0.78 2.24
T1121.pdb 47.74 22.52 0.54 0.77 1.88
T1122.pdb 27.83 7.18 0.37 0.42 3.64
T1123.pdb 17.29 6.65 0.25 0.22 3.90
T1124.pdb 74.14 39.99 0.87 0.79 2.45
T1125.pdb 11.37 3.48 0.19 0.29 3.33
T1127.pdb 90.12 57.76 0.93 0.81 2.56
T1129s2.pdb 12.39 6.23 0.25 0.17 3.63
T1130.pdb 30.03 8.10 0.37 0.39 3.68
T1131.pdb 20.65 2.52 0.27 0.31 3.50
T1132.pdb 86.73 44.61 0.86 0.76 1.87
T1133.pdb 91.75 66.82 0.98 0.88 2.29
T1134s1.pdb 90.17 62.22 0.95 0.86 1.86
T1134s2.pdb 85.38 61.94 0.89 0.85 2.60
T1137s1.pdb 33.46 16.26 0.37 0.69 3.35
T1137s2.pdb 32.73 15.03 0.35 0.80 2.75
T1137s3.pdb 33.15 13.78 0.35 0.81 2.90
T1137s4.pdb 29.82 12.61 0.34 0.66 3.10
T1137s5.pdb 32.82 18.22 0.37 0.71 3.20
T1137s6.pdb 29.38 13.79 0.33 0.67 3.14
T1137s7.pdb 83.00 47.20 0.92 0.77 3.17
T1137s8.pdb 89.64 56.28 0.95 0.86 2.14
T1137s9.pdb 76.60 41.33 0.90 0.82 2.24
T1139.pdb 56.70 35.02 0.63 0.58 2.95
T1145.pdb 19.47 9.42 0.34 0.43 3.32
T1146.pdb 76.25 41.10 0.87 0.72 3.14
T1147.pdb 94.02 59.86 0.92 0.85 2.33
T1150.pdb 71.27 34.73 0.87 0.72 2.77
T1151s2.pdb 87.80 46.69 0.87 0.76 3.20
T1152.pdb 94.02 58.09 0.86 0.83 3.08
T1153.pdb 81.37 57.68 0.88 0.77 3.27
T1154.pdb 7.07 3.88 0.13 0.18 3.58
T1155.pdb 66.83 27.33 0.70 0.58 3.19
T1157s1.pdb 46.08 28.55 0.54 0.53 3.20
T1157s2.pdb 47.58 18.74 0.63 0.77 1.69
T1158.pdb 58.52 29.49 0.83 0.82 2.61
T1159.pdb 58.75 27.10 0.67 0.59 3.37
T1160.pdb 52.59 7.36 0.27 0.62 2.34
T1161.pdb 52.61 18.58 0.44 0.56 2.29
T1162.pdb 70.24 40.27 0.74 0.63 3.42
T1163.pdb 82.20 45.06 0.87 0.76 2.66
T1170.pdb 68.99 40.03 0.81 0.85 1.75
T1173.pdb 27.57 13.93 0.33 0.31 3.65
T1174.pdb 43.34 19.85 0.57 0.68 2.98
T1175.pdb 92.14 56.52 0.96 0.83 2.58
T1176.pdb 68.09 30.20 0.71 0.72 2.52
T1177.pdb 73.99 42.90 0.80 0.78 2.28
T1178.pdb 8.24 0.67 0.15 0.16 3.80
T1179.pdb 9.72 3.44 0.17 0.16 3.93
T1180.pdb 59.32 40.92 0.64 0.82 1.80
T1181.pdb 49.74 28.83 0.63 0.66 3.36
T1182.pdb 23.42 12.89 0.34 0.34 3.58
T1183.pdb 82.44 53.01 0.87 0.76 2.55
T1184.pdb 35.60 9.19 0.39 0.36 3.69
T1186.pdb 97.88 78.59 0.98 0.93 1.62
T1187.pdb 87.50 56.61 0.91 0.84 2.48
T1188.pdb 65.53 45.30 0.72 0.73 3.12
T1194.pdb 85.41 44.39 0.90 0.72 2.77
Mean 58.14 32.34 0.64 0.66 2.82

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CASP15 performance benchmarking of the state-of-the-art protein structure prediction methods

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