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USTreasuryComparison.jl
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USTreasuryComparison.jl
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### A Pluto.jl notebook ###
# v0.19.32
using Markdown
using InteractiveUtils
# This Pluto notebook uses @bind for interactivity. When running this notebook outside of Pluto, the following 'mock version' of @bind gives bound variables a default value (instead of an error).
macro bind(def, element)
quote
local iv = try Base.loaded_modules[Base.PkgId(Base.UUID("6e696c72-6542-2067-7265-42206c756150"), "AbstractPlutoDingetjes")].Bonds.initial_value catch; b -> missing; end
local el = $(esc(element))
global $(esc(def)) = Core.applicable(Base.get, el) ? Base.get(el) : iv(el)
el
end
end
# ╔═╡ 1a93d472-8051-11ec-211c-7d342b527e06
begin
using FinanceModels
using CSV
using PlutoUI
using Plots
using Dates
using DataFrames
end
# ╔═╡ 6f855077-18eb-44c0-8a34-202716516701
md"""
# US Treasury Curve Comparision Tool
Select dates below. Data refreshes from [FederalReserve.gov](https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Choose.aspx?rel=H15) upon notebook start.
"""
# ╔═╡ c312c6f7-717a-474a-ab26-5c45365168d1
md"## Comparison
This table shows the change in zero rates:"
# ╔═╡ 6fab0540-d832-4e33-96b5-3db23d119c73
md" This plot shows the zero rates (sometimes you'll see the chart with par rates used in some contexts):"
# ╔═╡ 6f89a33c-dbaa-4feb-8665-db491c6aaf24
md"## Utils
The download and parsing functions to get the rates:"
# ╔═╡ 78694dd8-e829-48da-81a8-69b0dc2b701f
tenors = [1/12,3/12,6/12,1,2,3,5,7,10,20,30]
# ╔═╡ a3d6205f-2509-4fdc-8de8-d62dc140acd0
terms = [
"1MONTH","3MONTH","6MONTH","1YEAR",
"2YEAR","3YEAR","5YEAR","7YEAR","10YEAR",
"20YEAR","30YEAR"
]
# ╔═╡ 950943c0-6396-4958-9f1b-d7f0be23fdfd
cmt_file = download("https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Output.aspx?rel=H15&series=bf17364827e38702b42a58cf8eaa3f78&lastobs=&from=&to=&filetype=csv&label=include&layout=seriescolumn&type=package")
# ╔═╡ c61a2955-1701-44a7-bae3-2be7496a7696
cmt_data = let
df = CSV.read(
cmt_file,
DataFrame;
missingstring=["","ND"],
skipto=7,
normalizenames=true
)
# cols = names(df)
# completecases(df)
end
# ╔═╡ 1c64e087-0ace-409a-9fb6-1a7ebf241acc
dates = cmt_data.Series_Description
# ╔═╡ d1e4b3df-1a09-45bf-8ad4-fe46a7b600e0
md"Curve 1: $(@bind d1 DatePicker(last(dates))) (generally the earlier date)"
# ╔═╡ 98df3355-8546-4b75-8396-4dabc2220496
md"Curve 2: $(@bind d2 DatePicker(last(dates)))"
# ╔═╡ 1a51c64e-4cf7-4b6a-8d0d-d9757b487fef
function curve(data,date)
row = data[data[!,"Series_Description"] .== date,:]
tenors = [1/12,3/12,6/12,1,2,3,5,7,10,20,30]
rates = Array(row[:,2:end]) ./ 100
# skip missing and narrow type
tenors = [t for (t,r) in zip(tenors,rates) if !ismissing(r) ]
rates = [r for r in rates if !ismissing(r)]
quotes = CMTYield.(rates,tenors)
fit(Spline.Quadratic(),quotes,Fit.Bootstrap())
end
# ╔═╡ fb69ab79-1e17-40f4-abbd-245ec9c1c4bd
begin
c1 = curve(cmt_data,d1)
c2 = curve(cmt_data,d2)
clatest = curve(cmt_data,last(dates))
end;
# ╔═╡ eb9c951b-ffad-4134-bbbd-eb97e5fff52e
let
xs = 0.25:0.25:30
z1 = map(t -> rate(zero(c1,t)),xs)
z2 = map(t -> rate(zero(c2,t)),xs)
p = plot(xs,z1,label=d1,legend=:bottomright,
ylabel="zero rate",xlabel="maturity")
plot!(p,xs,z2,label=d2,)
dlatest = last(dates)
if dlatest ∉ [d1,d2]
zlatest = map(t -> rate(zero(clatest,t)),xs)
plot!(p,xs,zlatest,label="$(last(dates)) (latest)",l=(3,0.5,:dot))
end
p
end
# ╔═╡ f2251c5d-9185-4693-b5e3-95ac76b31b9a
df_compare = let
c1 = curve(cmt_data,d1)
c2 = curve(cmt_data,d2)
z1 = map(t -> rate(zero(c1,t)),tenors)
z2 = map(t -> rate(zero(c2,t)),tenors)
DataFrame(
terms = tenors,
termname = terms,
d1 = z1,
d2 = z2,
delta = z2 .- z1,
delta_bps = round.((z2 .- z1) .* 10_000,digits=0),
)
end
# ╔═╡ 00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000001
PLUTO_PROJECT_TOML_CONTENTS = """
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PlutoUI = "7f904dfe-b85e-4ff6-b463-dae2292396a8"
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CSV = "~0.10.11"
DataFrames = "~1.6.1"
FinanceModels = "~4.4.0"
Plots = "~1.39.0"
PlutoUI = "~0.7.53"
"""
# ╔═╡ 00000000-0000-0000-0000-000000000002
PLUTO_MANIFEST_TOML_CONTENTS = """
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