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* [markov_chains_II] spelling and example admontion

- change 'Benhabib el al' to 'Benhabib et al'

* [markov_chains_II] example admonitions

add example admonitions that includes a figure.

* [mle] spelling and example admonition

- change 'log-normal' to 'lognormal' for consistency

- add one example admonition.

* [markov_chains_II] add another example admonition

add example admonition for irreducibility

* [money_inflation] Spelling update

- change 'take the form of what are' to 'take the form of what is'

- change 'qualitive outcome' to 'qualitative outcome'

- change 'it reverse the pervese' to 'it reverses the perverse'

- change 'theses tools' to 'these tools'

- change 'steady state rate' to 'steady-state rate' for consistency

* [money_inflation_nonlinear] Update spelling

- change 'stationary inflation rate that assert' to 'stationary inflation rate that asserts'

- change 'it reverse the pervese' to 'it reverses the perverse'

- change 'qualitive' to 'qualitative'.
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14 changes: 12 additions & 2 deletions lectures/markov_chains_II.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -71,6 +71,8 @@ that
The stochastic matrix $P$ is called **irreducible** if all states communicate;
that is, if $x$ and $y$ communicate for all $(x, y)$ in $S \times S$.

```{prf:example}
:label: mc2_ex_ir
For example, consider the following transition probabilities for wealth of a
fictitious set of households
Expand All @@ -95,6 +97,7 @@ $$

It's clear from the graph that this stochastic matrix is irreducible: we can eventually
reach any state from any other state.
```
We can also test this using [QuantEcon.py](http://quantecon.org/quantecon-py)'s MarkovChain class
Expand All @@ -107,6 +110,9 @@ mc = qe.MarkovChain(P, ('poor', 'middle', 'rich'))
mc.is_irreducible
```

```{prf:example}
:label: mc2_ex_pf
Here's a more pessimistic scenario in which poor people remain poor forever
```{image} /_static/lecture_specific/markov_chains_II/Irre_2.png
Expand All @@ -116,6 +122,7 @@ Here's a more pessimistic scenario in which poor people remain poor forever

This stochastic matrix is not irreducible since, for example, rich is not
accessible from poor.
```
Let's confirm this
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -272,6 +279,9 @@ In any of these cases, ergodicity will hold.

### Example: a periodic chain

```{prf:example}
:label: mc2_ex_pc
Let's look at the following example with states 0 and 1:
$$
Expand All @@ -291,7 +301,7 @@ The transition graph shows that this model is irreducible.
```

Notice that there is a periodic cycle --- the state cycles between the two states in a regular way.

```
Not surprisingly, this property
is called [periodicity](https://stats.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Probability_Theory/Probability_Mathematical_Statistics_and_Stochastic_Processes_(Siegrist)/16%3A_Markov_Processes/16.05%3A_Periodicity_of_Discrete-Time_Chains).
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -392,7 +402,7 @@ plt.show()
````{exercise}
:label: mc_ex1
Benhabib el al. {cite}`benhabib_wealth_2019` estimated that the transition matrix for social mobility as the following
Benhabib et al. {cite}`benhabib_wealth_2019` estimated that the transition matrix for social mobility as the following
$$
P:=
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6 changes: 4 additions & 2 deletions lectures/mle.md
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Expand Up @@ -39,14 +39,16 @@ $$

where $w$ is wealth.

```{prf:example}
:label: mle_ex_wt
For example, if $a = 0.05$, $b = 0.1$, and $\bar w = 2.5$, this means
* a 5% tax on wealth up to 2.5 and
* a 10% tax on wealth in excess of 2.5.
The unit is 100,000, so $w= 2.5$ means 250,000 dollars.

```
Let's go ahead and define $h$:

```{code-cell} ipython3
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -242,7 +244,7 @@ num = (ln_sample - μ_hat)**2
σ_hat
```
Let's plot the log-normal pdf using the estimated parameters against our sample data.
Let's plot the lognormal pdf using the estimated parameters against our sample data.
```{code-cell} ipython3
dist_lognorm = lognorm(σ_hat, scale = exp(μ_hat))
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14 changes: 7 additions & 7 deletions lectures/money_inflation.md
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Expand Up @@ -35,7 +35,7 @@ Our model equates the demand for money to the supply at each time $t \geq 0$.
Equality between those demands and supply gives a *dynamic* model in which money supply
and price level *sequences* are simultaneously determined by a set of simultaneous linear equations.

These equations take the form of what are often called vector linear **difference equations**.
These equations take the form of what is often called vector linear **difference equations**.

In this lecture, we'll roll up our sleeves and solve those equations in two different ways.

Expand All @@ -49,19 +49,19 @@ In this lecture we will encounter these concepts from macroeconomics:
* perverse dynamics under rational expectations in which the system converges to the higher stationary inflation tax rate
* a peculiar comparative stationary-state outcome connected with that stationary inflation rate: it asserts that inflation can be *reduced* by running *higher* government deficits, i.e., by raising more resources by printing money.

The same qualitive outcomes prevail in this lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear` that studies a nonlinear version of the model in this lecture.
The same qualitative outcomes prevail in this lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear` that studies a nonlinear version of the model in this lecture.

These outcomes set the stage for the analysis to be presented in this lecture {doc}`laffer_adaptive` that studies a nonlinear version of the present model; it assumes a version of "adaptive expectations" instead of rational expectations.

That lecture will show that

* replacing rational expectations with adaptive expectations leaves the two stationary inflation rates unchanged, but that $\ldots$
* it reverse the pervese dynamics by making the *lower* stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
* it reverses the perverse dynamics by making the *lower* stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
* a more plausible comparative dynamic outcome emerges in which now inflation can be *reduced* by running *lower* government deficits

This outcome will be used to justify a selection of a stationary inflation rate that underlies the analysis of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic to be studies in this lecture {doc}`unpleasant`.
This outcome will be used to justify a selection of a stationary inflation rate that underlies the analysis of unpleasant monetarist arithmetic to be studied in this lecture {doc}`unpleasant`.

We'll use theses tools from linear algebra:
We'll use these tools from linear algebra:

* matrix multiplication
* matrix inversion
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -349,7 +349,7 @@ g2 = seign(msm.R_l, msm)
print(f'R_l, g_l = {msm.R_l:.4f}, {g2:.4f}')
```
Now let's compute the maximum steady-state amount of seigniorage that could be gathered by printing money and the state state rate of return on money that attains it.
Now let's compute the maximum steady-state amount of seigniorage that could be gathered by printing money and the state-state rate of return on money that attains it.
## Two computation strategies
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -950,7 +950,7 @@ Those dynamics are "perverse" not only in the sense that they imply that the mon
```{note}
The same qualitive outcomes prevail in this lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear` that studies a nonlinear version of the model in this lecture.
The same qualitative outcomes prevail in this lecture {doc}`money_inflation_nonlinear` that studies a nonlinear version of the model in this lecture.
```
Expand Down
6 changes: 3 additions & 3 deletions lectures/money_inflation_nonlinear.md
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Expand Up @@ -35,14 +35,14 @@ As in that lecture, we discussed these topics:
* an **inflation tax** that a government gathers by printing paper or electronic money
* a dynamic **Laffer curve** in the inflation tax rate that has two stationary equilibria
* perverse dynamics under rational expectations in which the system converges to the higher stationary inflation tax rate
* a peculiar comparative stationary-state analysis connected with that stationary inflation rate that assert that inflation can be *reduced* by running *higher* government deficits
* a peculiar comparative stationary-state analysis connected with that stationary inflation rate that asserts that inflation can be *reduced* by running *higher* government deficits

These outcomes will set the stage for the analysis of {doc}`laffer_adaptive` that studies a version of the present model that uses a version of "adaptive expectations" instead of rational expectations.

That lecture will show that

* replacing rational expectations with adaptive expectations leaves the two stationary inflation rates unchanged, but that $\ldots$
* it reverse the pervese dynamics by making the *lower* stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
* it reverses the perverse dynamics by making the *lower* stationary inflation rate the one to which the system typically converges
* a more plausible comparative dynamic outcome emerges in which now inflation can be *reduced* by running *lower* government deficits

## The model
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -399,7 +399,7 @@ Those dynamics are "perverse" not only in the sense that they imply that the mon
* the figure indicates that inflation can be *reduced* by running *higher* government deficits, i.e., by raising more resources through printing money.
```{note}
The same qualitive outcomes prevail in {doc}`money_inflation` that studies a linear version of the model in this lecture.
The same qualitative outcomes prevail in {doc}`money_inflation` that studies a linear version of the model in this lecture.
```
We discovered that
Expand Down

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