From b5028b1bf72f66bd908bd3676dc417ed3ec0d6ae Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: =?UTF-8?q?Alexander=20M=C3=A4rz?= Date: Thu, 10 Aug 2023 09:57:28 +0200 Subject: [PATCH] Updates --- docs/dgbm.md | 4 +--- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 3 deletions(-) diff --git a/docs/dgbm.md b/docs/dgbm.md index 9409d097..da5c75f9 100644 --- a/docs/dgbm.md +++ b/docs/dgbm.md @@ -1,6 +1,4 @@ -> *''Practitioners expect forecasting to reduce future uncertainty by providing accurate predictions like those in hard sciences. However, this is a great misconception. A major purpose of forecasting is not to reduce uncertainty but reveal its full extent and implications by estimating it as precisely as possible. [$\ldots$] The challenge for the forecasting field is how to persuade practitioners of the reality that all forecasts are uncertain and that this uncertainty cannot be ignored, as doing so could lead to catastrophic consequences.''* - -Makridakis (2022b) +> *''Practitioners expect forecasting to reduce future uncertainty by providing accurate predictions like those in hard sciences. However, this is a great misconception. A major purpose of forecasting is not to reduce uncertainty but reveal its full extent and implications by estimating it as precisely as possible. [$\ldots$] The challenge for the forecasting field is how to persuade practitioners of the reality that all forecasts are uncertain and that this uncertainty cannot be ignored, as doing so could lead to catastrophic consequences.''* Makridakis (2022b) # Introduction