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modelinfo.txt
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modelinfo.txt
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district = Layyah
RMSE = 0.2
MAPE = 0.085
Horizon = 30 days
changepoint prior scale = 0.08
seasonality prior scale = 0.05
initial = 200
period = 90
district = Nankana Sahib
rmse = 0.33
MAPE = 0.16
Horizon = 30 days
initial = 200
period = 90
district = Muzafargarh
rmse = 0.05
MAPE = 0.051
changepoint prior scale = 0.08
seasonality prior scale = 0.08
Horizon = 30 days
initial = 200
period = 90
district = Attock
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.05
rmse 0.12
MAPE: 0.065
Horizon = 30 days
initial = 200
period = 90
district = Bahawalnagar
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.005
rmse 0.0114
MAPE: 0.011
distrct = Bhakkar
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.08
rmse 14.184831
MAPE: 9.813
district = Chakwal
changepoint_prior_scale 0.05
seasonality_mode additive
seasonality_prior_scale 0.001
rmse 0.354632
MAPE: 0.131
Ignoring chiniot, Gujrawala, Hafizabad, Jhang, Lahore, Mandi Bahauddin, Muzaffargarh, Pakpattan as it has cases on less than 10 days
district = Dera Ghazi Khan
changepoint_prior_scale 0.005
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.001
rmse 0.00662
MAPE: 0.009
district = Faisalabad
changepoint_prior_scale 0.005
seasonality_mode additive
seasonality_prior_scale 0.01
rmse 4.199577
MAPE: 3.361
horizon = '30 days',
period = '75 days',
initial = '150 days',
district = Jehlum
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode additive
seasonality_prior_scale 0.001
rmse 0.275456
MAPE: 0.147
horizon = '30 days',
period = '75 days',
initial = '150 days',
District = 'Kasur'
changepoint_prior_scale 0.005
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.01
rmse 0.006851
MAPE: 0.008
horizon = '30 days',
period = '75 days',
initial = '150 days',
district = Khushab
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.08
rmse 2.278984
MAPE: 1.625
district = Mianwali
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.001
rmse 0.488398
MAPE: 0.325
district = Nankana Sahib
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.005
rmse 0.526688
MAPE: 0.259
district = Okara
changepoint_prior_scale 0.01
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.01
rmse 0.156995
MAPE: 0.07
district = Rawalpindi
changepoint_prior_scale 0.01
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.08
rmse 0.061882
MAPE: 0.03
district = Sargodha
changepoint_prior_scale 0.05
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.01
rmse 0.179464
MAPE: 0.11
district = Sheikhupura
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.001
rmse 0.2286
MAPE: 0.121
district = Toab Tek Singh
changepoint_prior_scale 0.08
seasonality_mode multiplicative
seasonality_prior_scale 0.01
rmse 0.064062
MAPE: 0.036