Simulate all strategies we have with different bet sizes

[kongzii]

Agent Bet vs Simulated Bet Comparison

DeployablePredictionProphetGPT4TurboFinalAgent

Number of bets since 2024-09-13 00:00:00: 65

strategy	bet_amount	bet_profit	roi	start_balance	end_balance
original	66.1787	-4.65621	-7.03581	nan	nan
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	65	-2.15394	-3.31376	50	47.8461
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	130	-8.31847	-6.39882	50	41.6815
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1625	-403.879	-24.8541	50	-353.879
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	30.7067	4.27167	13.9112	50	54.2717
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	56.8793	6.57101	11.5526	50	56.571
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	251.432	-21.1678	-8.41889	50	28.8322
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	48.3109	-3.04584	-6.30466	50	46.9542
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	93.052	-8.91665	-9.58244	50	41.0834
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	527.992	-208.725	-39.5318	50	-158.725
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	65	-6.17611	-9.50171	50	43.8239
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	130	-16.7567	-12.8897	50	33.2433
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1625	-526.786	-32.4176	50	-476.786

DeployablePredictionProphetGPT4TurboPreviewAgent

Number of bets since 2024-09-13 00:00:00: 50

strategy	bet_amount	bet_profit	roi	start_balance	end_balance
original	50	-6.03289	-12.0658	nan	nan
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	50	-5.03289	-10.0658	50	44.9671
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	100	-12.7658	-12.7658	50	37.2342
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1250	-365.814	-29.2651	50	-315.814
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	21.169	4.42238	20.8909	50	54.4224
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	38.2423	5.92182	15.485	50	55.9218
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	197.756	-8.38456	-4.23985	50	41.6154
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	39.5981	-6.37147	-16.0903	50	43.6285
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	75.6413	-15.5492	-20.5564	50	34.4508
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	539.881	-261.035	-48.3504	50	-211.035
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	50	-1.83901	-3.67803	50	48.161
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	100	-7.72302	-7.72302	50	42.277
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1250	-373.374	-29.8699	50	-323.374

DeployablePredictionProphetGPT4oAgent

Number of bets since 2024-09-13 00:00:00: 65

strategy	bet_amount	bet_profit	roi	start_balance	end_balance
original	65	0.528244	0.812684	nan	nan
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	65	1.70528	2.6235	50	51.7053
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	130	-2.74146	-2.10882	50	47.2585
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1625	-394.656	-24.2865	50	-344.656
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	28.6311	5.17212	18.0647	50	55.1721
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	52.9558	6.07608	11.4739	50	56.0761
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	246.472	-30.9666	-12.564	50	19.0334
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	50.1054	0.285979	0.570755	50	50.286
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	96.1498	-5.06543	-5.26827	50	44.9346
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	583.195	-222.547	-38.1599	50	-172.547
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	65	-2.18082	-3.35511	50	47.8192
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	130	-11.0116	-8.47048	50	38.9884
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1625	-518.01	-31.8775	50	-468.01

DeployableOlasEmbeddingOAAgent

Number of bets since 2024-09-13 00:00:00: 61

strategy	bet_amount	bet_profit	roi	start_balance	end_balance
original	61	6.45973	10.5897	nan	nan
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	61	7.86949	12.9008	50	57.8695
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	122	8.3752	6.86492	50	58.3752
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1525	-346.513	-22.7222	50	-296.513
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	35.7184	13.0816	36.6243	50	63.0816
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	68.3292	18.2535	26.714	50	68.2535
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	293.334	-29.321	-9.99578	50	20.679
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	45.0448	8.32276	18.4766	50	58.3228
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	87.5638	9.68524	11.0608	50	59.6852
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	406.723	-106.262	-26.1263	50	-56.2616
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	61	8.75301	14.3492	50	58.753
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	122	9.76093	8.00076	50	59.7609
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1525	-343.811	-22.545	50	-293.811

DeployableKnownOutcomeAgent

Number of bets since 2024-09-13 00:00:00: 47

strategy	bet_amount	bet_profit	roi	start_balance	end_balance
original	47	14.8038	31.4976	nan	nan
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	47	14.0869	29.9721	50	64.0869
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	94	25.5885	27.2218	50	75.5885
MaxAccuracyBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1175	93.6748	7.97232	50	143.675
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	46.4409	13.8786	29.8845	50	63.8786
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	83.2396	24.2841	29.1738	50	74.2841
KellyBettingStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	387.852	53.2384	13.7265	50	103.238
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=1)	46.4409	13.8786	29.8845	50	63.8786
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=2)	83.2396	24.2841	29.1738	50	74.2841
MaxAccuracyWithKellyScaledBetsStrategy(max_bet_amount=25)	387.852	53.2384	13.7265	50	103.238
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=1)	47	14.0869	29.9721	50	64.0869
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=2)	94	25.5885	27.2218	50	75.5885
MaxExpectedValueBettingStrategy(bet_amount=25)	1175	93.6748	7.97232	50	143.675

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