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Bike Sharing Demand

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Problem Statement

We are provided with hourly bike rental data spanning two years. For this competition, the training set is comprised of the first 19 days of each month, while the test set is the 20th to the end of the month.We are asked to combine historical usage patterns with weather data in order to forecast bike rental demand in the Capital Bikeshare program in Washington, D.C.

Solution

Dataset Information

Dataset: https://www.kaggle.com/c/bike-sharing-demand/data

The train and test data, which can be found at the link given above, contain the following variables:

Variable Description
datetime hourly date + timestamp
season 1 = spring, 2 = summer, 3 = fall, 4 = winter
holiday whether the day is considered a holiday
workingday whether the day is neither a weekend nor holiday
weather 1: Clear, Few clouds, Partly cloudy, Partly cloudy
2: Mist + Cloudy, Mist + Broken clouds, Mist + Few clouds, Mist
3: Light Snow, Light Rain + Thunderstorm + Scattered clouds, Light Rain + Scattered clouds
4: Heavy Rain + Ice Pallets + Thunderstorm + Mist, Snow + Fog
temp temperature in Celsius
atemp "feels like" temperature in Celsius
humidity relative humidity
windspeed wind speed
casual number of non-registered user rentals initiated
registered number of registered user rentals initiated
count number of total rentals

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Forecasting bike rental demand using historical data and weather data

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