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Probability of Outcomes.txt
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Probability of Outcomes.txt
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All possible outcomes:
Outcome | Probability
————————————————————————————————
BB | 5/100
————————————————————————————————
IBB | 1/100
————————————————————————————————
HBP | 1/100
————————————————————————————————
1B | 15/100
————————————————————————————————
2B | 10/100
————————————————————————————————
3B | 1/100
————————————————————————————————
HR | 1/100
————————————————————————————————
E | 1/100
————————————————————————————————
K | 30/100
————————————————————————————————
G.O. | 20/100
————————————————————————————————
F.O. | 10/100
————————————————————————————————
L.O. | 5/100
————————————————————————————————
Total | 100/100
G.O. = Groundout
F.O. = Flyout
L.O. = Lineout
In this game, obstructions (aka interference) and balks will not be considered as those are so rare that they cannot be predicted.
For simplicity purposes, runners will not score on sacrifice flies or groundouts, there will be no fielder’s choices (therefore, no putouts), and there are no wild pitches.
There will also only be one pitcher (that is, the team’s best starting pitcher) and it’ll be assumed he can throw nine innings and an infinite number of pitches.
We will also assume that all plays (including throws) with runners on base are made perfectly but only for the batter. Therefore, a groundout with a runner on base will be considered as one out and will not advance the runner. Thus on a lineout, it is assumed the runner will get back to the base.