Why does Point Polygon Matter?

Motivating Example with child Mortality

Changes in Under 5 mortality
Proxy for general population health
easier to measure
MDGs

talk about measurement problems

VR
Suerveys
Surviellance
Summary Birth histories vs complete birth histories

Helpful Notes for presenting

Remember your units!!! (Including in maps)
maps with geographic outlines

How do we evealuate models

what is the polict implication???
How is policy implemented?
What are the implications of the uncertainty for different policy decisions?

TODO:

Test model mis-specification
test temproal autocorrelation range
test when the approx9imation may be poor and when it does pretty well
test reasonable values of U5m as well as single year data
Throw in other measures of variation to examine and test
Relative root mean squared error
Turn off multithreads for TMB
Show how different the mixture is from the approximation

Tests

Compare against no spatial variation!
Compare against no covariate effect!
Check province level estimations in the mcmc comparsions!
Variogram of residuals to show true spatial effect